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IMF critic wins Nobel
economics prize
Markets are not always efficient for the poor
A leading critic of the IMF, former World Bank chief
economist Joseph Stiglitz, now at Columbia University,
has shared the Nobel Prize in economics.
He shares the prize with Americans George Akerlof of
the University of California, Berkeley, and Michael
Spence emeritus professor at Stanford University, for
their work on "asymmetric information and markets".
Their research sought to explain how markets can be
distorted when one side knows more than the other -
implicitly suggesting that intervention might be
necessary to restore fairness.
The prestigious $1m prize is awarded by the Swedish
central bank, and the winners will attend an award
ceremony in Stockholm on 10 December.
Controversial critic
Mr Stiglitz applied that criticism to policy when he
worked for the World Bank, attacking the "Washington
consensus" that recommended that all developing
countries should liberalise their markets and embrace
free trade.
He was particularly critical of the advice of the
International Monetary Fund during the Asian economic
crisis of 1997-98.
Mr Stiglitz told BBC News Online in an interview last year
that it was clear that the IMF's advice - to cut budgets
and raise interest rates - had made the situation worse
in countries that had followed its advice.
He argued that temporary controls on capital flows
might have been more effective for many countries.
Mr Stiglitz faced criticism for his outspoken stance from
US officials, and left the World Bank job before his term
of office had finished.
The market for used cars
"During the 1970s, this year's laureates laid the
foundation for a general theory of markets with
asymmetric information," the Royal Swedish Academy of
Sciences said in its citation.
"The laureates' contributions form the core of modern
information economics," with implications ranging from
traditional agriculture to the operation of sophisticated
financial markets, it said.
In a key paper, Professor Akerlof analysed the market
for "lemons", or poor quality used cars, showing that
because buyers lacked reliable information about their
condition, they were vulnerable to exploitation by
sellers, creating "adverse selection" when lemons were
more likely to be sold.
One consequence has been the development of dealer
networks with guarantees about quality.
In another paper, Professor Spence pointed out that
order to overcome this problem, market actors must
engage in "signalling" - using methods like branding
and advertising, paying higher dividends than necessary
to signal their profitability, and individuals obtaining
higher educational qualifications than formally
necessary for a job to prove their reliability.
Insurance scams
Adverse selection can also affect sectors such as
insurance, where people who are more likely to have
potential claims are more likely to sign up for insurance
policies.
In response, insurance companies may exclude whole
classes of people, for example the elderly - a market
failure that led to the introduction of government health
insurance, even in the United States.
And credit markets can also be affected, for example
with interest rates charged to poor farmers are much
higher than elsewhere because lenders lack information
about their creditworthiness.
Developing countries
Professor Stiglitz was one of the leaders in applying the
theory of asymmetric information to developing
countries and to public sector regulation.
One of his earliest papers explained why sharecropping,
where landlords and tenants divide up the crops
harvested, is a solution to the problem of unequal
information about harvest conditions.
And he has also pointed out that if a market is
completely informationally efficient, i.e. if all relevant
information were reflected in prices, then no single
agent would have sufficient incentive to acquire the
information on which prices were based (the
"Grossman-Stiglitz paradox").
>From theory to practice
Professor Stiglitz, who moved from academic life to
become an economic advisor to President Clinton, has
been a strong sceptic of the efficiency of free markets.
In his policy role, he has been particularly critical of
financial markets, whom he says respond irrationally in
a crisis because they lack critical information.
His insights have underpinned some of the key
recommendations for international financial reform,
including greater transparency and improved flow of
information from developing countries.
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It is the second time in three years that the Nobel
economics prize has gone to a free market critic
concerned with poverty in developing countries.
In 1998, the Nobel economics prize was awarded to
Professor Amartya Sen of Cambridge University, a
pioneer of welfare economics who analysed the causes
of famines.